UK Property Market

The Resilient UK Property Market: Mortgage Trends Explored

Author Malcolm Henshaw
October 2019
15 min read

October 2019 revealed the UK property market as a bastion of stability amid Brexit turbulence, sustaining credit flow and lending confidence across the financial sector.

Property Values

Steady despite Brexit

First-Time Buyers

Strong market participation

Digital Mortgage Apps

Rising adoption rates

In October 2019, the UK property market was a beacon of stability amid the prevailing uncertainties of Brexit and other global economic factors. While political debates over the UK's future relationship with the European Union remained unresolved, the housing market demonstrated a remarkable level of resilience.

This steady performance helped maintain consumer confidence and provided lenders with the assurance needed to continue issuing mortgages. The solid foundation of stable house prices and consistent demand in the property market played a pivotal role in sustaining lending activity across both consumer and commercial sectors.

For financial institutions, the housing market's robustness acted as a crucial buffer against broader economic volatility and political instability, allowing them to navigate through these uncertain times with more confidence than in other sectors.

Steady Property Values and Demand

UK Property Market - October 2019

0.4%

Monthly Price Growth

1.3%

Annual Price Growth

£234K

Average House Price

65K+

Monthly Mortgage Approvals

Despite the ongoing Brexit turmoil, property values in the UK remained steady throughout October 2019, buoyed by strong buyer interest and a well-balanced supply of homes. As the political landscape shifted and global uncertainties persisted, the property market proved to be remarkably resilient, providing much-needed stability.

Key Urban Markets

Property markets in major cities, including London, Manchester, and Birmingham, continued to attract interest from both first-time buyers and investors alike.

Strongest Performance
Manchester (+3.4% YoY growth)

Lender Confidence

The stability in property values created an environment in which lenders could confidently issue new loan approvals, even as other parts of the economy struggled.

Risk Assessment
Minimized default risks due to steady collateral values

Analysts noted that the steady rise in property values and the continued demand for residential properties gave lenders a sense of security, allowing them to maintain lending activity. As a result, despite the broader economic challenges facing the country, mortgage lending remained relatively unaffected by market volatility.

For lenders, this consistency in housing prices helped minimize default risks, offering reassurance that property-backed loans would retain value even in uncertain times. The housing market was, therefore, a critical asset that preserved consumer confidence in the financial system and helped keep the flow of credit intact.

Mortgage Lending Trends: Consumer Perspective

Consumer Mortgage Activity - October 2019

First-Time Buyers

Strong Performance

First-time buyers remained active, capitalizing on stable market conditions and relatively affordable prices outside London.

Average deposit: £42,800
Average loan: £172,000

Refinancing Activity

High Volume

Refinancing was particularly strong, with homeowners seeking to lock in low interest rates amid uncertainty.

Average savings: £840/year
Through rate reductions of 0.3-0.5%

On the consumer side, the mortgage lending landscape remained relatively strong despite the broader economic challenges. Banks continued to approve significant numbers of home loans, with favorable terms for borrowers who had strong credit profiles.

The continued strength of the housing market reassured lenders that providing mortgages remained a relatively low-risk proposition. As a result, many consumers benefited from competitive interest rates and attractive mortgage terms, even in a climate of economic uncertainty.

MARKET INSIGHT
" The housing market's resilience during political uncertainty demonstrates its fundamental role as a stabilizing force in the broader UK economy and financial system. "

- UK Housing Market Analysis, October 2019

Lenders, aware of the housing market's resilience, focused much of their efforts on refinancing and first-time homebuyer loans. The overall stability in property prices reduced the risks associated with lending, allowing financial institutions to approve mortgages without the same level of concern that would otherwise exist in a more volatile environment.

Mortgage Lending Trends: Commercial and Investment Perspective

Buy-to-Let Market

Moderate Growth

Investment mortgages, particularly for buy-to-let properties, showed moderate growth as investors capitalized on steady property values and strong rental demand.

Rental Yield 5.2% UK Average

Commercial Property Finance

Stable Performance

Commercial mortgage lending remained resilient, particularly in cities with limited commercial space and high occupancy rates.

Urban Commercial Occupancy 94%

The commercial property sector also benefitted from the stability in the housing market. Lenders continued to offer buy-to-let and investment mortgages, underpinned by the consistent performance of the property market. The market for property investments, particularly in residential buy-to-let, remained strong in cities and urban areas, where demand for rental properties continued to outstrip supply.

The stable value of property assets offered lenders assurance that their exposure to risk was manageable, even as political and economic uncertainties loomed large. With rental yields remaining attractive in key urban centers, demand for property investments remained strong, particularly in regions with limited housing supply.

This helped create a stable environment for commercial lending, as lenders continued to support property investors and developers, knowing that the underlying asset would retain its value in the event of any financial turbulence. Even as Brexit uncertainty prevailed, the property market provided a strong foundation for commercial mortgage lending, ensuring that credit continued to flow to property investors.

Shifts in Lender Strategies and Risk Management

Evolving Lender Approaches

Flexible Underwriting

Adjusted standards that accounted for market stability

Enhanced Risk Assessment

More rigorous evaluation of borrower creditworthiness

Data Analytics

Advanced systems to assess risk more effectively

The steady performance of the UK housing market in October 2019 prompted a strategic shift in how lenders approached risk management. With property values holding steady despite Brexit-related fears, financial institutions were able to reduce the perceived risk associated with issuing mortgages.

As a result, many lenders adjusted their credit assessment frameworks, incorporating more flexible underwriting standards that took into account the broader market conditions. These strategic shifts allowed financial institutions to maintain or even slightly expand their mortgage portfolios, balancing the need for caution with the opportunity presented by a stable housing market.

Lenders were also keenly aware of the importance of maintaining a strong risk management framework to protect against the potential financial fallout from Brexit and other uncertainties. Enhanced credit assessments now included a more rigorous evaluation of borrower creditworthiness and collateral quality.

The Role of Digital Innovation in Mortgage Lending

Mobile Applications

Streamlined mortgage applications through smartphone interfaces reduced approval times by up to 40%

Automated Underwriting

AI-powered systems accelerated decision-making while maintaining rigorous risk assessment protocols

Enhanced Transparency

Digital platforms improved borrower understanding of mortgage terms and conditions, reducing queries by 25%

Another critical factor in the mortgage lending landscape of October 2019 was the role of digital innovation. With increasing demands for faster and more efficient loan approvals, many financial institutions embraced digital platforms to streamline the mortgage application process.

Automated underwriting systems and enhanced data analytics allowed lenders to process loan applications more quickly and accurately, offering a better customer experience and more tailored mortgage solutions.

The increasing reliance on digital technology helped mitigate some of the uncertainty in the market by providing both lenders and borrowers with more control over the lending process. Automated systems reduced the time it took to approve loans, allowing borrowers to receive quicker decisions on their applications.

Furthermore, these innovations improved transparency, making it easier for borrowers to understand the terms and conditions of their mortgage products. In turn, this facilitated a smoother lending experience and helped maintain a steady flow of mortgage approvals, even in a climate where traditional credit channels were under greater scrutiny.

Conclusion and Future Outlook

Key Takeaways

  • The UK property market demonstrated remarkable resilience despite Brexit uncertainty

  • Stable property values provided lenders with confidence to maintain mortgage lending

  • First-time buyers and refinancing activity drove consumer mortgage demand

  • Digital innovation enhanced the mortgage application process and borrower experience

  • Lenders adapted risk management strategies to balance opportunity and caution

The stability of the UK property market in October 2019 played a crucial role in supporting mortgage lending throughout the month. While Brexit continued to generate uncertainty in the political and economic spheres, the housing market's steady performance provided lenders with the confidence to continue offering home loans.

Both the consumer and commercial mortgage segments benefitted from the stable property market, as lenders embraced more flexible risk management strategies and took advantage of digital innovations to improve efficiency. As the housing market remained a vital asset in maintaining the flow of credit, it also served as a key factor in supporting broader economic stability.

Looking ahead, the resilience of the housing market will remain a crucial factor in sustaining mortgage lending activity. While Brexit may continue to cast a shadow over the UK economy, the strength of the property market will play a vital role in supporting lenders and ensuring the continued flow of credit.

As the political landscape evolves, lenders will likely continue to refine their risk management strategies and embrace digital transformation, ensuring that the mortgage market remains adaptable and robust in the face of new challenges.

Financial Insights Team

Malcolm Henshaw

Specialist in financial risk management with 15+ years at leading global banks.

October 2019 Highlights

  • UK average house price: £234,000

  • Annual property price growth: 1.3%

  • First-time buyer average mortgage: £172,000

  • Buy-to-let average rental yield: 5.2%

  • Digital mortgage application growth: +28% YoY

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